Mid. Tenn. State
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
16  Jacob Choge SO 31:05
48  Kigen Chemadi JR 31:29
201  Sampson Laari SR 32:10
528  Amos Cheruiyot SR 32:53
542  Geoffry Cheruiyot SR 32:55
2,487  Nathan Mack SO 36:21
2,865  Tre'von Sanders SO 38:50
National Rank #25 of 315
South Region Rank #3 of 41
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 50.4%
Most Likely Finish 21st at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 14.2%


Regional Champion 6.2%
Top 5 in Regional 96.6%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Jacob Choge Kigen Chemadi Sampson Laari Amos Cheruiyot Geoffry Cheruiyot Nathan Mack Tre'von Sanders
Commodore Classic 09/16 659 31:35 31:42 32:11 33:21 32:22 36:06
Louisville Classic (Gold) 09/30 694 31:11 32:01 32:17 32:54 32:49 36:59
Crimson Classic 10/13 632 30:21 31:19 32:23 33:08 33:09 36:38 39:04
Conference USA Championship 10/28 764 31:45 31:50 32:29 33:04 33:06 35:54 38:40
South Region Championships 11/10 418 30:27 30:51 31:35 32:20 32:41





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 50.4% 22.5 563 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 1.0 1.8 2.7 3.2 4.2 5.5 5.3 5.2 5.3 4.6 3.8 2.8 1.6 1.2 0.9 0.3
Region Championship 100% 2.9 130 6.2 41.6 24.3 18.5 6.2 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.2 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jacob Choge 99.8% 18.7 0.2 1.0 1.2 1.5 1.8 3.5 3.6 4.1 3.6 4.7 4.5 3.2 2.2 3.0 2.7 3.4 2.2 2.4 2.4 2.4 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.5 1.0
Kigen Chemadi 79.3% 61.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.7 1.0 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.3 1.3 1.3
Sampson Laari 50.5% 140.0
Amos Cheruiyot 50.4% 224.2
Geoffry Cheruiyot 50.4% 227.3
Nathan Mack 54.7% 248.9
Tre'von Sanders 62.9% 250.5


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jacob Choge 3.7 1.0 5.6 16.0 37.3 15.5 8.3 5.7 4.2 2.1 0.6 1.0 1.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1
Kigen Chemadi 6.5 0.1 1.1 6.9 15.5 19.4 14.5 11.7 6.5 4.7 4.9 3.0 2.2 2.0 1.3 1.0 1.3 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4
Sampson Laari 17.6 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.4 3.7 5.4 5.7 5.4 5.9 6.3 4.8 5.7 5.5 4.8 4.4 3.3 3.8 3.2 2.7 2.9
Amos Cheruiyot 42.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.2
Geoffry Cheruiyot 43.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.9
Nathan Mack 202.8
Tre'von Sanders 242.2




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 6.2% 100.0% 6.2 6.2 1
2 41.6% 100.0% 41.6 41.6 2
3 24.3% 8.9% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.1 22.1 2.2 3
4 18.5% 2.4% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 18.0 0.5 4
5 6.2% 6.2 5
6 2.0% 2.0 6
7 0.9% 0.9 7
8 0.3% 0.3 8
9 0.2% 0.2 9
10 0.1% 0.1 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
Total 100% 50.4% 6.2 41.6 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.2 49.7 47.8 2.6




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Princeton 69.0% 1.0 0.7
Alabama 34.6% 1.0 0.3
Wisconsin 26.1% 1.0 0.3
Purdue 22.8% 1.0 0.2
Georgia Tech 0.6% 1.0 0.0
Texas A&M 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Kentucky 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Butler 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Belmont 0.1% 3.0 0.0
Auburn 0.1% 2.0 0.0
Lipscomb 0.1% 2.0 0.0
Total 1.5
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 6.0